Ukraine was due to start the 2022/23 season in 12th place on the odds table. However, on the official UEFA website (as well as on all other resources on this topic) in the ranking of federations Ukraine at the beginning of the 2022/23 season is in thirteenth place. Strictly behind … Russia.
UEFA scored 4,333 points without stopping any participant in the European Cup due to the treacherous attack on Ukraine. The interpretations of the European Football Association (UEFA) indicate that the organization decided to award the Russian federations the number of points equal to the lowest coefficient recorded in the past five seasons: 4333 points for the men’s union and 1750 for the women’s union.
The decision is unprecedented.
In the recent history of European football, there are very few instances of exclusion from the European Cups for the entire Federation, but it is. And the “banned” countries did not get any points without actually participating in the European Cups. At the height of the war, Yugoslavia received zeros from the 1991/1992 season to the 1994/1995 season. Although the example of Yugoslavia, where the war took place within a single geopolitical entity and which then claimed to be treated by many individual countries, does not reveal much about our situation.
More illustrative is the example of England 1985-1990, who were expelled due to the Eisel tragedy.
From the 1985/86 season to the 1989/90 season inclusive, England didn’t get a single point on the odds table.
4333 points for Russia are ineligible – That’s roughly 22 points on the probability conversion table (1 point – a draw, 2 points – a win (in qualification: 0.5 points – a draw, 1 point – a victory); the amount is divided by the number of clubs in the European Cups). That is 11 victories in the group stage of the European Championship. If we take into account the four bonus points (0.800 points) that Russia will usually receive for the automatic exit of one team to the group stage of the Champions League, to achieve a factor of 4333 points, you will need this. Get another eight wins and one draw in the main round of the European Cups (or 17 wins and one draw in the qualifiers). And not the fact that such a feat will be subject to representatives of a terrorist state in football stadiums.
As a result, we have a paradox. Without elimination, Russia will have to start the 2022/23 season in 17th place in the odds table with a difference of 1172 points (including a bonus for Russia for the Champions League group and without a point for Shakhtar, which will play in the playoffs. Without removing the occupiers). In fact, the aggressors occupy the twelfth place and surpass Ukraine at 1,615 points (Subject to Shakhtar bonuses). To bridge this gap, we You need to win eight wins and one draw in the qualifiers, or four wins and one draw – in the main round of the European Cups.
In fairness, Russia should have scored zero points in the odds table for the 2022/23 season. Taken from the air, 4,333 further attempts by UEFA to serve the rich aggressor.
All screenshots – kassiesa.net